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Battle for the US Senate
 
Real Clear Politics website
 
North Carolina Race analysis:
 
9/8/14--The race has been remarkably stable.  The only wild card is Libertarian candidate Seah Haugh, who has polled well and peeled off more ballots fro Tillis than Hagan.  Third parties tend to fade down the stretch (except when they don't), we we'd expect things to tilt back Tillis' way.  But we really have no way of knowing for sure.
 
9/23/14--The Democratic blitz has clearly taken its toll on Tillis, although Hagan has seen only a modest improvement in her numbers and remains stuck at around 45 percent. Still, Tillis has come major image repair to do it he wants to wind this race.
 
10/17/14--Tillis has clearly narrowed the gap here, now that the Republican blitz is underway:  We'll have to wait for more polling to determine whether he has the lead or not.
 
10/28/14--Hagan's lead continues to trickle away, but with only a week to go until Election Day, she may well be able to run out the clock.

   

Polling Data

Poll

Date

Hagan (D)

Tillis (R)

Spread

Real Clear Politics

10/15-10/25

44.4

43.2

Hagan +1.2

High Point USA

10/21-10/25

44

44

tie

NBC News Marist

10/21-10/25

44

44

tie

CBS/NY Times

10/16-10/23

43

43

tie

PPP

10/16-10/18

47

44

3

Hagan +

 

Civitas

10/15-10/18

44

44

tie

   

The only poll that counts is on Tuesday, November 4, 2014.

   

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